The recent surge in North Carolina’s manufacturing sector, particularly in EV and battery production, is poised to stimulate significant growth in the commercial real estate (CRE) market. The influx of manufacturers is driving demand for industrial space, increasing property values, and indirectly impacting other sectors of the CRE market.
Demand for Industrial Space:
Recent TBJ News sources highlight several instances of manufacturers seeking larger facilities or establishing new plants in North Carolina. For example, Axis Corrugated Container recently acquired a 70,000-square-foot facility in Butner to accommodate its operations. This demand for industrial space is further evidenced by the planned development of a 65-acre industrial park in Dunn, which will feature six Class A industrial buildings designed to attract manufacturers. The growth of companies like Forge Nano, which received substantial funding from the U.S. Department of Energy to expand its EV battery production facility in Morrisville, underscores the increasing need for industrial real estate in the state.
Sources indicate that industrial building sales in the region are occurring frequently and at increasingly higher prices. For instance, a fully-leased warehouse in Raleigh recently sold for $14.4 million, almost triple its previous sale price. This trend suggests that the demand from manufacturers is driving up property values in the industrial sector, making it an attractive investment opportunity.
Indirect Impacts on Other CRE Sectors:
The manufacturing boom’s impact extends beyond industrial real estate. The influx of new workers associated with these manufacturing facilities is creating a ripple effect across other CRE sectors. The increased demand for housing is fueling the need for more residential real estate development, as seen in the numerous reports of new apartment and townhome projects in areas experiencing manufacturing growth, such as Wilson, Hillsborough, and Cary. The growing population of workers will also drive demand for retail spaces, restaurants, and entertainment options, potentially benefiting those commercial real estate sectors. Last, the expansion of supporting industries, such as logistics and supply chain management, further contributes to the demand for various types of commercial properties.
Factors to Consider:
While the outlook for CRE growth in North Carolina appears promising, several factors could influence the market’s trajectory. The ongoing workforce shortage in the state, highlighted by the competition for skilled labor among companies like Wolfspeed and Toyota, could impact the pace of manufacturing expansion and, consequently, the demand for CRE. The broader economic climate, including interest rate fluctuations, inflation, and potential recessionary pressures, will also play a role in shaping the CRE market’s future.
Conclusion:
The sources collectively paint a picture of a strong connection between North Carolina’s manufacturing boom and the potential for significant growth in the commercial real estate market. While challenges exist, the influx of manufacturers, coupled with the increasing demand for industrial space, rising property values, and indirect impacts on other CRE sectors, suggests a positive outlook for commercial real estate in North Carolina.
